Showing posts with label Comte. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Comte. Show all posts

Thursday, February 3, 2011

What's Wrong with the Social Sciences?

Where Was Our Demosthenes?

Since the 19th century, democracies have put increasing faith in the social sciences to help formulate public policy. Leaders and administrators draw from diverse academic fields -- economics, political science, international relations, sociology, anthropology, social history, geography, psychology, legal studies, business administration -- whose methods explain and predict patterns of behavior in human populations.

There is much to commend the social sciences. I value my training in the social sciences. As a historian and commentator, I honor Adolphe Quetelet's stunning discovery that much human behavior can be described by the bell curve. Yet during the last century, when democracies have been bullish on the social sciences, its practitioners have failed to see some of the most dramatic storms on the horizon. Consider how the status quo was suddenly upset by the following events, not one of which was forecast by an appreciable number of social scientists:

  1. The outbreak of the First World War after a century of relative peace in Europe.
  2. The Stock Market crash of 1929 and the Great Depression that followed.
  3. Nazi rearmament and the outbreak of World War II in the 1930s.
  4. The achievements of the Civil Rights movement and President Johnson's Great Society were to end the most dire effects of poverty and give hope to citizens in our inner cities. Yet between 1965-68 America's inner cities exploded with rage.
  5. There was the first OPEC embargo in 1973, which sent the West into a panic.
  6. Also in the 1970s, modernization theory told us we lived in an increasingly secular age in which religion would become attenuated as a social force. Yet in 1976 a new voice arose in American politics, that of evangelical Christianity, whose civic engagement helped elect Jimmy Carter in '76 and Ronald Reagan in '80 and '84. (Remember the Moral Majority?) Even as late as 2004, George W. Bush's surge in the last week of the campaign was attributed to evangelicals. Few social scientists saw any of this coming.
  7. The developing world was also supposed to be modernizing and secularizing after World War II. But then in 1979 the Iranian Revolution erupted, and all of a sudden Islam re-emerged as a world-historic force with which to reckon. Few social scientists saw it coming.
  8. It was not just the reassertion of religion in geopolitics that went missing on radar screens. Back during the Reagan years the U.S.S.R. was supposedly here to stay. Our nation was spending $30 billion annually in universities, government intelligence agencies, think tanks, and exchange programs to understand Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. Yet the rapidity with which the Berlin Wall fell on 11/9 surprised everyone, social scientists included. Prior to the autumn of 1989, hardly anyone predicted that the U.S.S.R. would end up on the ash heap of history (President Reagan, Pope John Paul II, and Alexander Solzhenitsyn excepted). Why didn't the experts have a clue?
  9. Before December 2007, where were economists to warn us about toxic mortgages and bundling? Why didn't more experts see the Great Recession coming and how severe it would be?
  10. Prior to January 2011, no one seemed aware that Egypt -- our "cornerstone of stability and security in the Middle East," according to Secretary of State Clinton -- was on the verge of exploding. Yet explode it did. Few experts saw it coming.
Besides posing the obvious question -- Where was our Demosthenes when we needed him? -- these ten examples raise a host of philosophical issues. To what degree is scientific knowledge of society possible? In what ways are the social sciences predictive? When it comes to public policy, should the social sciences ever supplant the humanities or ignore the historical record?

Such questions were almost unthinkable when I was an undergrad. Back in the 1970s, I was taught that the social sciences had more cache than narrative histories because they were predictive; human behavior could be plotted on a bell curve. In grad school in the 1980s, most of my profs marched to the same drumbeat, arguing that history was better when informed by the methods of the social sciences than by those of the humanities; cliometrics uncovered patterns that had greater analytical and descriptive power than, say, biography or Thucydides.

I do not doubt the efficacy of bell curves, cliometrics, and compelling social scientific methods that have been developed over the last two centuries. Great analytical and predictive powers can be claimed on their behalf. And yet, very few smart people in the social sciences predicted some of the most defining events of our recent past.

After the fall of the Berlin Wall on 11/9/89, social scientists began seriously debating the limits of social science. Clearly social science did not turn out to be the "social physics" that Auguste Comte hoped. Nor was it the "religion of prediction," as one headline put it. Immanuel Wallerstein aired his personal revaluation in a provocatively titled book, Unthinking Social Science: The Limits of Nineteenth-Century Paradigms, which is now in its second edition and regarded as the classic treatment of these questions. The classicist W. R. Connor also ruminates wisely on the limits of social science in his article, "Why Were We Surprised?" (American Scholar, 2001).

What's wrong with social science? Nothing -- so long as the experts acknowledge, and the public knows, its limits.

Perhaps the humanities, without gloating, can reinforce the sense of humility. Not that the humanities have been any better than the social sciences at predicting the big surprises of the last 100 years. But the humanities do have a way of making us humble before the mystery of existence.

I'd offer that the humanities should have a place at democracy's table, alongside the social sciences, when leaders and the public are weighing big decisions. Narrative history, literature, philosophy, foreign languages, and myth -- they are as relevant as ever. For the humanities shove us out of our comfort zone into the mystery, variety, and unpredictability of the human condition -- the exact opposite of what social science tries to do in tracing the patterns, consistency, and predictability of human behavior.

Also consider the study of the classics, or the history of distant peoples, or any modern foreign language. These disciplines require students to master much different viewpoints from what is ordinary and familiar. Mastery of a "foreign" viewpoint with a different grammar and different cultural rules is invaluable training for citizen-leaders who must work in a global economy and empire.

Narrative history also offers valuable training. It does not presume to be predictive in the way the social sciences are. It recognizes, as Philip Tetlock has quipped, that "there are no control groups in history." But deep reading in the past helps us appreciate the wild card that can suddenly appear in the course of human events. History conditions us to anticipate storms gathering on the horizon if not predict the hour of their arrival. History's emotionally powerful stories describe the human personality in its mystery, the human will in its inscrutability, and human action in its unfathomable possibilities. Indeed, good history reveals how unpredictable life can be. It makes readers alive to the power of emotion, loyalty, and love (all four kinds) in human affairs. It shows how unforeseen crises develop when historical processes are unexpectedly interrupted or accelerated. History teaches us that crisis arises out of the raw material of human nature, and no bell curve can quite catch it. Herodotus and Thucydides, Plutarch and St. Augustine -- they give us a different way of looking at our world, one that is every bit as compelling as that of the social scientists. Can we recognize ourselves in the mirror and the lamp they raise before us?

If there is any "soft pattern" in the human condition, then the humanities help us recognize at least two of its sources. One "soft pattern" arises from the relative constancy of human nature: People who face similar conditions tend to act in similar ways. It's why historians search out analogies linking different events. The other "soft pattern," ironically, is that there are few soft patterns in history. Big Surprises come when people least expect them. The wild card appears with enough regularity to keep us humble. The social sciences alone are not the answer. Nor are the humanities alone the answer. The best education for leaders and the public is the "both-and," not the "either-or," approach to the study of human beings. Both the social sciences and the humanities help us get a better grasp on our world.

Leaders are probably more effective when they know the social sciences and statistics. For example, baseball team owners and managers who make room for perceptive and creative sabermetricians -- the guys who crunch baseball statistics -- tend to do better than owners and managers who do not. The Tampa Bay Rays swear by sabermetrics, and the results show.

No question: Leaders are hopefully more ethical when they understand the complexity of the human condition, are practiced at comprehending different viewpoints, and have experience finding solutions to problems for which there are no formulas.

By way of concluding, consider the findings of Philip Tetlock who engaged in
"a long-term research project now 18 years old to examine in detail the outcomes of expert political forecasts about international affairs. He studied the aggregate accuracy of 284 experts making 28,000 forecasts, looking for pattern in their comparative success rates. Most of the findings were negative— conservatives did no better or worse than liberals; optimists did no better or worse than pessimists. Only one pattern emerged consistently.

“How you think matters more than what you think.

"It’s a matter of judgment style, first expressed by the ancient Greek warrior poet Archilochus: 'The fox knows many things; the hedgehog one great thing.' The idea was later expanded by essayist Isaiah Berlin. In Tetlock’s interpretation, Hedgehogs have one grand theory (Marxist, Libertarian, whatever) which they are happy to extend into many domains, relishing its parsimony, and expressing their views with great confidence. Foxes, on the other hand are skeptical about grand theories, diffident in their forecasts, and ready to adjust their ideas based on actual events....

"Bottom line: The political expert who bores you with an cloud of “howevers” is probably right about what’s going to happen. The charismatic expert who exudes confidence and has a great story to tell is probably wrong."

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Leadership essentials

Definitions:

"Leadership is the capacity and the will to rally men and women in a common purpose." ~Field Marshall Bernard Montgomery

Leaders must have the ability to make tough decisions. They must have the character to inspire confidence.

Following are some thoughts and values that inform our leadership work at the Hauenstein Center for Presidential Studies:

The Republic Needs Leaders

When we speak of national security problems, economic problems, political problems, energy problems, environmental problems, and social problems, we are ultimately confronting leadership problems. To grapple effectively and ethically with the plethora of problems we face, we must take the utmost care to educate emerging leaders in social skills, the process within which they work, risk assessment, and a humane understanding of the human condition.


Leaders and Geese

Leaders can learn a little something from observing geese:
- A flock of geese know their community; they know who's in the flock.
- When the flock takes off and align in their V formation, all the geese are flying in the same direction.
- In a well-coordinated V they are helping each other by creating an updraft, each for the goose behind him. They can fly 70 percent farther if they help each other than if they fly isolated.
- The leader knows he doesn't have to do it alone. He is happy to share the lead. When he gets tired, he falls behind and lets the goose behind him take the lead.
- The honking comes from the back of the flock to encourage the ones with the most resistance out front.
- When a goose in flight falters and must land, the others land and surround him for protection, and stay with him until he can fly again or dies.


Leadership Traits (from Paul Hillegonds)

It's important to study the best leaders and discover what traits many of them have in common. That's what we do at the Hauenstein Center. So we invited Paul Hilligonds to speak to our leadership fellows. Paul has held major leadership positions in all three major sectors -- for-profit, non-profit, and public. He shared his rich experience and reflections with leadership fellows on September 26, 2011, in Lansing.

  1. Leaders know that leadership depends on relationships. Relationships depend on trust, and trust arises out of integrity. Integrity is adherence to core values. So leaders protect their integrity, first and foremost. (For once integrity is lost, it is difficult if not impossible to recover.) It's the most important thing to know about the individuals we regard as good leaders: They have integrity, which gives rise to trust, which is the foundation of good relationships, which is the basis for collective action.
  2. Leaders are not insecure but have a healthy self-esteem and are comfortable in their own skin -- so healthy that they know when to listen and when to follow. They know when to mentor and when to be mentored.
  3. Leaders know themselves -- especially their weaknesses -- so surround themselves with diverse, talented people who can complement their skills and tell them not necessarily what they want to hear, but what they need to hear.
  4. Leaders have a strong sense of purpose. They know why they are leading. They are not just managing the status quo, but have a vision of where to go.
  5. Servant leaders are motivated to make an impact. They are results oriented. They also respect that process which gets results. Servant leaders want to achieve results that better a situation, solve a problem, make a community stronger, and bring about the greater good.
  6. Leaders have the courage and decisiveness to be decision-makers. They often know the outcome they want out of a meeting or process. But they know that everyone else does, too. Diverse people have their own ideas about the way things should be. Leaders understand that they are not just "bosses." Leadership is about piloting and steering, not dictating or ordering (unless of course there is a safety emergency). In a democracy, the process to reach a decision usually involves flexibility, adaptation, compromise, cooperation. During the process, good leaders work hard to steer diverse people toward a consensus. Instinctive problem solvers, they are determined to find common ground with those with whom they disagree. This means that they are good negotiators who value two-way communication, listen well, and winnow options well. Again, they prefer steering people toward consensus than commanding them like pawns. They steer a great team toward implementing the consensus.
  7. Leaders are risk-takers. They are not content just to manage the status quo. They will even risk sharing credit and power when it's the right thing to do.
  8. To make the tough decisions -- the 51-49 decisions -- leaders grapple with the age-old quandary of whether to follow their conscience or be guided by the will of the people they represent. In either case, it comes back to relationships: if leaders try to know their constituents, they will better understand and be better understood when the time comes to make a difficult decision.
  9. Leaders know they did not create their community and its institutions out of whole cloth, but stand on the shoulders of others. They see themselves as stewards of their institution and stewards of their community.
  10. What if your place or position in an organization is the minority one? In today's polarized climate, what is the role of a community steward? You are obligated to do more than "just say no." You are obligated to give a constructive alternative because you recognize a higher calling to the community. To be effective, you have to go back to fundamentals like the first one mentioned -- relationships. Get to know the people who oppose you; have dinner together; understand their family heritage and experience and concerns. That human foundation will go far both when it comes time to make a difficult decision, and when you are trying to get an audience for your "voice in the wilderness."


Death, Happiness, and Leadership

The death of Steve Jobs has brought to light his Socratic side, the conviction that a good life is about preparing for a good death. (See The Apology, Crito, and Phaedo.)

From Socrates to Steve Jobs, the art of living comes down to this: living as though you will soon die. With the urgency to get things right, you will simplify. You will have increasingly peaceful, positive relations with fellow human beings. You will be a better listener and friend. (You will finally succeed in living the Golden Rule.) You will quit trying to control people and situations you cannot. (You will finally succeed in living the Serenity Prayer.) You will not take another's foul mood so personally. (You will finally be more adept at letting go of perceived injuries.) Since you want to leave a positive legacy, you will challenge yourself to make people feel that their life is better because of their encounters with you. No backbiting, no negativity, no whining, no complaining: just good words about people, about our stories, about the work we do, about the opportunities to grow amid struggle, and about our vision for -- and actions consistent with -- a better life for all whose lives we are privileged to touch. Ironically, the approach of death can focus us and make us happier.

Considering how death focuses the mind, I want you to undertake a little thought experiment. Try to imagine how this notion of the art of living impinges on the art of leadership. If you were to ask leaders what they'd do if told they had only five months to live, they no doubt would focus on their relationships -- with children, spouse, family, and close friends -- exactly what Steve Jobs did. Now, if you were to ask leaders what they would do if told they had only five years to live, they would still tend to the primary relationships in their life, but they would also try to contribute something that they would be proud to leave behind -- some expression of the best of their gifts. This larger horizon would concentrate their efforts on legacy, on how they'd want to be remembered, and they no doubt would do something great.

Since none of us knows when we'll die, what's stopping you from giving the best of your gifts to humankind now? You just may become a happier human being and leader if you live with more urgency to get your relationships and work right.

The Education of Leaders: Social Sciences and Humanities

Education engenders understanding and compassion. We see what happens where education is lacking. In the absence of understanding and compassion, frustrated people resort to extremism, force, violence, terror, and war. ~Dr. Jonathan White
The education of leaders often draws on the social sciences -- economics, the law, political science, sociology, etc. The education of leaders should also include deep engagement with the humanities -- history, literature, philosophy, etc. The social sciences are useful because they explain and/or predict patterns of behavior in large populations of human beings. The humanities help us remain alive to the unique and unpredictable turn in human events; help us not be surprised by the unexpected ways an individual will choose to think and act; pull us into the minds and experiences of other individuals and cultures. Leaders need to appreciate both the social sciences and the humanities, and welcome thinkers from each perspective to the table. Here's why:
  1. Since World War II, the U.S. has been the world's greatest superpower. Yet in late 1989, not one leader foresaw the collapse of the Berlin Wall and the disintegration of the Soviet Empire -- not one -- despite the fact that our nation employed thousands of experts in the social sciences and spent $30 billion annually in universities, government intelligence agencies, think tanks, and exchange programs to observe and understand Eastern Europe and the U.S.S.R.
  2. Since World War II, the U.S. has been the world's dominant economy. Yet in late 2007, hardly any leaders fully grasped that the global real estate bubble was about to drive the U.S. and other Western nations over a cliff. The Great Recession would wreck havoc on the middle class, but where were the experts who took a leadership role and warned investment bankers and policy makers to forswear toxic mortgages and asset bundling?
  3. After World War II, our economy and military needed Middle Eastern allies and oil. Yet in late 1979, hardly any American experts trained in the social sciences saw the coming eruption of the Islamic Revolution in Iran. Hardly any experts foresaw and told us how radical the reassertion of Islam would change our world for decades to come.
The same with other world-historic events -- 9/11, Tiananmen Square, the first OPEC embargo -- all of which left the majority of experts and leaders slack-jawed. Let me put it another way. The biggest events of recent decades were anticipated neither by the experts nor by our leaders. Should a greater variety of perspectives be at the table when major decisions are being weighed?
Education in the U.S. has occasionally failed to prepare experts, leaders, and citizens to anticipate tectonic changes that affect our security, economy, and way of life. What to do? Following Emmanuel Wallerstein (Unthinking Social Science) and W. Robert Connor ("Why Were We Surprised?"), I would offer that leadership education has to step back from its overweening reliance on the social sciences. This is not an argument to throw out the social sciences, just to recognize their limitations. Balancing training in the social sciences with deep exposure to the humanities -- history, literature, philosophy, myth, and the arts -- would give emerging leaders a truly comprehensive outlook onto the world. The humanities and social sciences both are needed to prepare ethical, effective leaders.

Here is another way of saying it. Leaders are expected to make decisions that will bring about a better future. Since nobody knows the future, it's all guesswork. Why are some guesses better than others? Good guesses about the future are based on experience, training, sound intuition, and good counsel. Let's look briefly at this last element, good counsel. When big decisions are being weighed, the secure leader should welcome two kinds of minds to the table. Each compensates for the limits of the other. (1) The statistical mind is the assertion of the "left brain" that's been educated in the social sciences. It knows how to crunch numbers, interpret bell curves, and predict human behavior in situations where mathematical formulas have a proven track record. This approach grows out of Adolphe Quetelet's pioneering work in probability and statistics, and Auguste Comte's conviction that scientific knowledge of society is possible -- it's tantamount to "social physics" -- and that decision making is a methodical exercise using the correct formulas. (2) The humanistic mind is the assertion of the "right brain" that's been educated in the humanities. It is alert to possibilities that might be overlooked by training in the social sciences. This approach grows out of Jacob Burckhardt's conviction that observers who are deeply read in history, literature, myth, and philosophy can sniff out the unpredictable element in human affairs. Learning from the past, they can sense the deep, persistent crises that might arise when historical processes are interrupted or accelerated. They are alive to the power of emotions, loyalty, and love (all four kinds) in human action. At its most powerful, the humanistic mind may forecast what will happen and foresee the moral consequences. It is what Thucydides calls pronoia in his great account of the Peloponnesian War.

Here is the point: When it comes to advisers, the secure leader embraces "both-and," not "either-or." Both advisory styles are at the table. For the humanities shove us out of our comfort zone into the mystery, variety, and unpredictability of the human condition -- the exact opposite of what social science tries to do in tracing the patterns, consistency, and predictability of human behavior. To understand the human condition in all its richness, the social sciences and humanities both are needed because they point us in opposite directions -- the one, toward the patterns and predictable behavior in human populations; the other, toward the mystery and unpredictability of individual wills.

As part of their education, emerging leaders/apprentice leaders should be well exposed to both the statistical mind and the humanistic mind. They should know how to form a team of advisers who come from the social sciences and humanities. They should grapple with case studies in which the statistical mind and humanistic mind complemented and/or clashed with one another. For example, how did these two advisory styles help or hurt JFK as he arrived at a decision during the Cuban missile crisis? [For an appreciation of the humanities in leadership education, see W. R. Connor, "Why Were We Surprised?" American Scholar (2001): 175-84.]

My colleague in the economics department at Grand Valley State University, Prof. Greg Dimkof, is refreshingly humble about the predictive powers of his discipline. He claims that economists do not predict very well because meteorologists cannot predict long-range weather very well. The economy is dependent on a wild card, weather, and weather impacts energy costs, crops, investors, catastrophes, lost productivity, and much else that goes into the GDP calculus.
On the other hand, I appreciate another colleague, Prof. Jon White, who profiles terrorists and knows how to use modeling to predict if they will attack. He said a half-dozen things usually come together to create an extremist terrorist who will attack American citizens and property. These individuals (1) are alienated from our society, (2) find others who are alienated from society, (3) get religion even if it's a twisted interpretation of Islam, (4) fall under the spell of a religious leader who has a beef with the status quo, (5) are able to get weapons, and (6) have the means to travel to their target. That's social science put to work -- thankfully -- for our security.

A liberal education – a liberating education – is foundational to leadership. If you learn to see the world through the eyes of others – if you really listen to others and try to understand their experiences and viewpoint – people will be more inclined to give you a hearing. If you have earned such a platform with others, you can bring diverse people together to pursue a common cause. You can also communicate better – an essential skill in a pluralistic culture. So, if you have studied economics, you can see the world as an economist sees it. If sociology, as a sociologist sees it. If politics, as a political scientist sees it. If religion, as a theologian sees it, etc. A liberal education imparts a broad, humane outlook.

The American Sea Change

Human nature is everywhere and always constant. One of the constants is that there will always be followers and leaders. Another is that followers will always respond better to leaders who consistently show strength of character. But leadership traits and styles are sensitive to threshold events in history. Consider the creation of the United States, the first large republic in the modern era. Our nation was established in a world of hostile monarchs. The new republic fundamentally changed the idea and practice of leadership. In most cultures prior to 1776, men and women became leaders through conquest or dynastic succession. The U.S. gave rise to leadership that wasn’t grounded in conquest or dynasties, but in “the consent of the governed” (Locke and Jefferson). One important trait leaders need to connect with the governed is trust. Because it is so necessary to compromise in a constitutional republic, leaders must have integrity. When they enter negotiations and make agreements, there must be no betrayal. Another important trait is empathy. Developing a leader’s capacity to feel empathy for others – to really listen to others and try to understand their experiences and viewpoint – is central to leadership in a democratic polity. This empathy is developed in part through our reflection on our own and others' suffering, and in part through a liberal education – i.e., through thoughtful engagement with literature, biography, history, psychology, and other “liberating” disciplines.

Leaders who can be trusted, leaders who have integrity, leaders who feel empathy -- these traits have been cultivated by the American way of governance. They have been written into our nation's unwritten constitution. Cultivating these leadership traits has become as much a part of our unwritten constitution as political parties (to channel our differences), the fourth estate (to act as a watchdog for citizens), and President George Washington's precedents (to guide future presidents). There are many examples of trust, integrity, and empathy in the public lives of our dominant Founders -- Washington, Franklin, Adams, Jefferson, Hamilton, and Madison.

What Leaders Need

Leaders in a democracy must be effective and ethical.

Trust, according to Gerald R. Ford, is the most important trait an American leader needs to possess. In line with this thought, Ford always showed respect to others. He regarded people who disagreed with him as opponents, not enemies.

The four most important things leaders need (adapted from Rufus Fears): Leaders need (1) a moral compass to maintain integrity in their personal relations, (2) firm political principles to guide their public policies, (3) the possession of emotional intelligence, good interpersonal relations, and communication skills to bring people together in a consensus, and (4) vision or foresight -- pronoia in Thucydides – to anticipate danger, guide the priorities when a leader sets the agenda, and answer the question: What should stay the same, and what should change, as we respond to a challenge / better our condition / take ourselves to the Promised Land?

To these four characteristics, an Aristotelian like Alasdair MacIntyre would add (5) the virtue of prudence, which is good judgment wedded to right action. Presidential historian Robert Dallek would add (6) luck since statesmen enjoy enough good luck to win the battles they must. Agreeing with all that has come before, I would add (7) the inner strength, psychological resilience, and courage to fight another day. For elaboration on this last point, see my essay, "Democracy's Greatest Leaders -- Abraham Lincoln and Winston Churchill."

Sea Change in Leadership

The rise of the United States brought about a sea change in leadership. Prior to the American founding, there were relatively few leaders in proportion to the population of any given nation. Most of the Old World's leaders ruled through conquest or dynastic succession. The rise of the U.S. increased the absolute and relative number of leaders in the West as well as changed the rules of the game. "We the People" were no longer subjects of a king, but citizens of a constitutional republic who enjoyed inherent rights, as well as the opportunity to pursue happiness as we wished. Most American leaders were not "to the manor born" but worked their way "from the bottom up." So prepare to be surprised by the people around you: Today's followers may well be tomorrow's leaders.

The frontier played a special role in developing American leadership. It called forth women and men who had to meet innumerable challenges before local, state, or national government could extend its effective reach, even for day-to-day defense. In this challenging new environment, self reliance, the cultivation of freedom under the rule of law, and a culture of democratization took root. These values have had a profound impact on who leads whom, when, and how, in America.

The three great sectors of American public life have reinforced this sea change in leadership. In the political arena, candidates standing for election must learn consensus-building skills, the art of compromise, accommodation, flexibility, and respect for rules of the game. If you lose the debate or the vote, you accept the outcome and live to fight another day. In the marketplace, the providers of goods and services have to be sensitive to people's needs and wants, offering what is socially needed and desirable -- or risk financial failure. In civil society, there are all kinds of opportunities for people to volunteer and take a lead improving the lives of others. All three of these sectors -- political, economic, and voluntary -- reinforce one another. Each sector requires ethical, effective leaders. The effect has been to dramatically increase the number of leadership opportunities in the U.S., as well as to democratize and decentralize leadership.

In America, the tyrannical type does not do well in the public square -- either in the political arena, marketplace, or civil society. Throughout our history, people have had to conceal and channel their libido dominandi. In effect they have to come across as ruling less and leading more. It means that a lot of what a leader has to do is genuinely connect with others. True leaders -- the Real Deal -- must make a better impression than the host of pretenders out there. They have to win others over in an authentic way. A leader wins others over through good people skills, integrity, hard work, smart presentation, and mastery of the practical arts of leading.

A Democratic Culture of Leadership

The most unlikely people with the most debilitating flaws and in the most unlikely circumstances have risen to leadership positions, so…. So look around with renewed respect for the people you know. The person who is small and unassuming (like Gandhi) might lead a multitude; the person who has a speech impediment (like Moses) may start the greatest liberation movement in human history; the teenage girl (like Joan of Arc), although inhabiting a "man’s world," might lead an army against a foreign enemy; the person who grows up in isolated log cabins and receives hardly any schooling (like Abraham Lincoln), may with courage and eloquence lead the United States to rediscover its destiny. Look around you and be prepared to follow….

Look also into yourself – and be prepared to lead. You never know when you will be called upon to lead. That’s why we offer leadership education to young people at the Cook Leadership Academy.

Because the U.S. is a large, free nation with great opportunities in the three major sectors – business, government, and non-profit – our nation offers people more opportunities to lead than any other, ever. So: there is no excuse. If you see a problem that needs to be addressed, help a leader or be the leader who wrestles the challenge to the ground.

The Center Must Hold

A good double entendre to describe what we believe: At the Hauenstein Center, we believe that the center must hold. We balance conservation and innovation. (Thanks for this double entendre, Adam Bradway.)

For the better part of their history, Americans have lived successfully with the tension between the party of innovation (based on Voltaire and Hamilton) and the party of conservation (based on Burke and John Adams). We believe that the tension between innovation and conservation is productive of a justly ordered, free society. We believe that the extremes – whether on the left flank of innovation or the right flank of conservation – lead to divisive ideologies that should not prevail in the public square. When it comes to American politics, we believe that the center must hold. Indeed, the genius of American politics has been to eschew ideologies of every stripe. Our Cook Leadership Academy prepares students to work with both sides of the aisle in an effort to seek solutions.

The political center is not like vanilla, any more than the middle of a chess board is like vanilla. The center should not be defined either by mere pragmatism or by preoccupation with democratic procedure. In reality, the political center is the arena where contrasting ideas are thrown into the spotlight and clash most brilliantly. It's where the fight is most strenuous. It requires great discipline to fight in the center of the arena. Politically it is where the party of innovation and the party of conservation must channel their differences in constructive ways (mostly through the parties themselves, an essential element in America’s unwritten constitution; and through the filter of our fourth estate, the journalists). The lively contests in the center are where we discover our common ground as Americans. Thus good leaders know that the center must hold.

The opposite of the center is tyranny. No tyrant can tolerate the middle ground where debate is most vigorous. So conserving a lively center preserves liberty.

- We do not just focus on political leadership at the Cook Leadership Academy. We are committed to raising up a community of ethical, effective leaders who are familiar with the ecology of all three sectors – business, government, and non-profit. The same leadership skills are needed in each of these sectors.

- Managers are problem solvers; leaders are problem seekers. In the former case, the problem has already appeared, so it’s too late to do anything but manage the suffering it is causing and try to root it out. In the latter case, the problem is pre-empted by a leader in possession of that critically important trait – foresight. (See Herodotus and Thucydides.)

- Think BIG. Be BOLD. Be CONFIDENT. “If the trumpet give an uncertain sound, who shall prepare himself for the battle?” St. Paul, 1 Corinthians 14v12.

- At the close of the Constitutional Convention of 1787, a woman in Philadelphia asked Benjamin Franklin what the framers had wrought. He replied that they had created a republic – if she and citizens like her could keep it. The everlasting moral of this little exchange is that nations and civilizations are fragile; they easily decline. We are only one generation away from barbarity. What if teachers stopped teaching, parents stopped instructing, pastors stopped preaching, libraries stopped circulating, bookmakers stopped publishing, booksellers stopped selling, etc.? Then our human heritage would be seriously diminished in just 25 years, for the rising generation would not know it, and life as we know it would end. Leadership must ensure the continuity of the important things.

Servant Leadership

My take on "servant leadership":
We only serve what we love.
We only love what we know.
We only know what we have learned (through reading, hearing, studying, and reflecting on experience).
Now you can connect the dots between a liberal education at a university and leadership in the community. The Cook Leadership Academy endeavors to help leadership fellows fulfill their potential by advancing from study … to knowledge … to love … to service.

The French philosoph Voltaire had keen insight into one motivation to serve others, and his insight sheds light on servant leadership. The prevalence of evil and the limits of human knowledge lead many people – even the best theists among us – to believe that they do not know God as well as they desire to. (“Why did God let this tragedy happen to this child?”) Since it is difficult to love and serve what we do not really know, our fallback position is to love what we can know – our fellow human beings. When we know and love others, we empathize with them in their suffering. Instead of being a helpless bystander, we confront the banality of evil that God apparently allows. When we try to alleviate others’ suffering – when we try to take them to a better place – we become servant leaders. (This foundational human impulse also helps explain the rise of the secular progressive movement in the U.S. after the Civil War.)

Social psychologists from Gustav LeBon to Daniel Goleman have taught us that people’s brains (specifically their limbic system) align with each other psychologically. Effective leaders understand this phenomenon and take responsibility for setting the tone to get people to work toward a common goal. Think of Winston Churchill’s radio broadcasts to the British people during the Battle of Britain. His unexpected defiance steeled the nation’s resolve.
Leadership begins by learning to lead yourself. Once you learn to lead yourself, you can be more trusted to lead others. There is a memorable quotation attributed to Alexander the Great, inspired perhaps by his teacher Aristotle: "What good is it that I have conquered the whole world -- but cannot conquer myself?"

The Greatest Democratic Leaders

Democracy requires a different kind of leader – I think a better one. Rather than rising to the top by conquest or dynastic succession, the democratic leader comes into authority through a constitutional process, with the consent of the governed, and by demonstrating good judgment and right actions frequently enough to win the confidence of fellow citizens. In our present difficulties, isn't it natural to wonder who’ve been the best democratic leaders of all time? In the U.S., informal surveys show that five individuals usually make the cut. They are the models, the gold standard, for what democratic statesmen should be. Chronologically, the five are:
1. Pericles
2. George Washington
3. Abraham Lincoln
4. Winston Churchill
5. Franklin Delano Roosevelt
(Cicero, Konrad Adenauer, Ronald Reagan, and Margaret Thatcher also get mentions.)
For more on democratic statesmanship, see my blog post, "Democracy's Greatest Leaders," January 28, 2011.

Leading is heady, especially if you are fortunate enough to meet with a series of successes. It is crucial that you not let the successes go to your head. It will make you become arrogant and treat others with hubris. Remember: It is not our weaknesses that make us trip. It is too much of our strength that makes us trip.


Heroes, Saints, Leaders

In ages past, there were heroes and saints. People looked to heroes and saints, not celebrities, for inspiration. For models of fully realized, good human beings, our civilization educated the young to look to heroes (after Homer depicted them so brilliantly in the Iliad and Odyssey) and to saints (after the New Testament was written and the church was founded).
But in the modern age, we seem less inclined to seek inspiration from heroes and saints. Unfortunately, many youth nowadays look to celebrities to get their bearings on the path to the good life. Or their training in college equips them to become mere managers who have given little thought to the ethical requirements of leadership.

Experience eventually teaches us all that celebrity and managing are not enough. People who have outgrown their youthful indiscretions look higher, to leaders. Leaders are what we call the heroes and saints of secular modernity. All the leadership gurus and the books and articles they churn out are trying to define leadership in much the same way the church establishes and applies the rules for canonizing saints.

- Ultimately leadership is a civilizational mission. Don’t prattle on and on about leadership until you tell me where you want to go. It’s not just about traits and techniques. Leaders need to know where they are leading others. Tell us where you want to take us. In one minute or less, you should be able to tell us what needs to change, and what needs to stay the same.
To see where leaders want to take us, measure them by the past leaders they admire. Leaders should study the leaders of the past to see contrasting models and antimodels.

- Leaders should also study the empires and civilizations of the past. Every one of them carried within it the seeds of decline and dissolution and the seeds of growth and betterment. It’s the story of the wheat and the tares. Our empire and civilization are no different. The U.S. has within it the seeds of both decline and betterment. (Just like the human body. Each of us is carrying viruses and bacteria that could kill us if we continually make poor decisions by not eating right, or getting enough rest, etc.) Leaders thus make the difference between progress and decline.
Leaders must be discerning. They must be able to identify the seeds of destruction and the seeds of betterment. At the very least, they must do no harm. Ideally, they should be able to make prudent decisions that lead to the true betterment of human beings in community.
If leaders are well educated, then they know the big picture about empires and civilizations. Knowing the big picture, they will figure out the best policies that can win broad assent. For example, everybody ought to agree that fiscal responsibility is a virtue. We should spend within our means, and only spend beyond our means in an emergency.
It’s not happening in Washington. There is an air of unreality inside the Beltway because the pols there don’t have to balance the budget each year the way state governments and families do. Today's professional pols are neither heroes nor saints.
We the People need to take back our government and take back our nation. We should start by hiring true leaders at the polls.
- My philosophy of meetings and reports: To use a football metaphor, why huddle if you're not calling a play? If a meeting or report does not lead to a specific play in which all know their role, the expected high-level performance, and the desired outcome -- if the play is not designed to advance our field position -- then don't bother.
- Our leadership training of young people is built on four cornerstones:
(1) a liberal education in the humanities and social sciences;
(2) close mentoring in which an accomplished leader becomes a strong advisor to one or more leadership fellows;
(3) philosophical and political understanding of the center -- the center must hold;
(4) relationship skills.

Gratitude

Our work at the Hauenstein Center for Presidential Studies is meaningful. We are grateful to Ralph Hauenstein, Grand Valley State University, and our many donors and supporters for the opportunity to make a difference in the lives of others.

To learn more about leadership formation at the Hauenstein Center for Presidential Studies, visit http://www.allpresidents.org/